According to Goldman Sachs, the cryptocurrency markets will not recover from their present correction. On 5th February, Steve Strongin (Goldman Sachs head of investment research) said, the high correlation between several cryptocurrencies makes him really anxious. Some currencies that do not survive are expected to trade to zero due to the lack of intrinsic value.
Strongin is worried about the possibility that maybe one or a few of the existing cryptocurrencies could ascend from the speculative bubbles, just like the crypto equivalents of Google or Amazon. However, he said that he doesn’t think that most of the coins will ever recuperate to their all-time highs.
There have been many questions arising like, is there any cryptocurrency that’ll be like Google or Amazon? Or are they going to end up just like the other now-defunct search engines? Strongin said that this doesn’t mean that the prices of cryptocurrency cannot increase at all because they are in a speculative bubble at this time. But at the same time he said, that most of the cryptocurrencies might bounce back to their all-time highs, but some of them are never going see their current peaks ever again.
This clearly shows that the speculative bubble is coming to its end and rather than as a collective asset class, investors are going to start judging the cryptocurrencies from their individual merits as a lot of casual retail investors are already familiar with it. It also seems like the ICO (initial coin offering) success will suddenly come to its end.
Strongin said that the winners-take-most sight of the market is not very unique to Goldman Sachs. On Wednesday, the founder of DCG (Digital Currency Group) Barry Silbert, offered the same remarks at “Yahoo Finance All Markets Summit: Crypto” with explicably more positive stance on the entire industry.
According to Silbert, a huge majority of crypto-assets are facing a binary outcome. They are either going to become extremely valuable or they are going to become worthless. He added, this is why Grayscale Investments (a DCG portfolio company) launched its newest product, a fund related to crypto-asset investment and it holds the market cap (weighted positions) in the most major five cryptocurrencies and balances it again quarterly to imitate market movements.
Many other experts have also warned the investors on cryptocurrencies. Nouriel Roubini, who’s a well- known economist said on Tuesday, that the price of bitcoin would also crash to zero. Warren Buffett also said in a recent interview that cryptocurrencies are definitely going to have a bad ending.